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Hamilton by-election LIVE: Labour win Hamilton by-election with Reform in third

Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse By-Electionlive
Reform could take a major prize (Image: Getty)

Voting has ended in the Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse by-election for the Scottish Parliament, with Reform UK coming in a disappointing third place for the party that has previously been viewed as the insurgent national movement.

The contest was triggered by the death of Scottish Government minister Christina McKelvie, who held the seat for the SNP with a 4,582-vote majority in the 2021 Holyrood election.

Reform organisers pointed to a lack of volunteers on the day and the ability of Labour activists to bus in volunteers from across the country to create a late surge in votes, which had overshadowed Refor’s “get out and vote” campaign.

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Reform’s presence in Scotland is ‘real’

Director of More in Common UK Luke Tryl says that the results show that Reform has a “real presence” in Scotland.

Pollsters ‘proven wrong’

Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar told PA: “I think people need to change the script, because we’ve proven the pollsters wrong.

“We’ve proven the commentators wrong, we’ve proven the bookies wrong. We’ve proven John Swinney wrong and so many others wrong too.”

SNP MP for Aberdeen South congratulates labour

SNP Westminster Leader Stephen Flynn congratulates a winning labour candiddate in a post on X. He wrote: “Congratulations must go to Davy Russell – I’m sure that was an incredible moment for both himself and his family. And commiserations to @KatyLoudonSNP . A wonderful person and candidate who has given her all for our party and movement.”

Scottish Labour hail Scotland ‘new direction’

The party released a post from it’s X account minutes after victory was declared.

Labour wins Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse

Labour wins Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse

Labour has secured victory in the Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse constituency, with Davy Russell set to become the area’s new MSP.

Here’s how the votes were cast:

Labour: 8,559 (Winner)

SNP: 7,957

Reform: 7,088

Conservative: 1,621

Greens: 695

Liberal Democrats: 533

Scottish Socialists: 278

Scottish Family: 219

Independent: 109

UKIP: 50

Labour’s win marks a key gain in a closely contested race, with the SNP and Reform close behind.

Richard Tice calls for national debate on burka ban

Reform UK’s deputy leader Richard Tice arrived at the Hamilton by-election count on Thursday evening, where he was immediately surrounded by reporters.

Asked about the resignation of party chairman Zia Yusuf earlier that day, Mr Tice said: “As Nigel said, I’ve said, we’re very sad that Zia has resigned. He’s worked incredibly hard. He’s been instrumental in driving the party forward.

“One of the reasons that this result could be very close, we don’t know which way it will go, is because of the success of what Zia has achieved. It’s very sad. You know, politics is difficult. It’s time-consuming.”

Mr Tice reacted strongly when asked whether Reform was a racist party.

He said there should be a “national debate” on the wearing of the burka, adding that there ought to be discussion on “all these important issues, as opposed to not discussing anything and smearing and labelling people.”

Mr Yusuf stepped down following a public dispute with a Reform MP over a proposed burka ban.

Vote Count And Declaration For The Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse By-Election

(Image: Getty)

Turnout for the Hamilton 2025 by-election bucks the trend

New Statesman data jouralist Ben Walker has pointed to the turnout in Hamilton reliative to the previous by-election, via his X account: “It’s typical for turnout in by-elections to be 60% of what it was in the national election. Hamilton’s turnout was 60.9% in 2021. A typical BE turnout for Hamilton should be 37%. 44% is somewhat eyebrow raising.”

Labour Says Hamilton by-election ‘too close to call’ as counting continues

Labour’s deputy leader in Scotland has said the outcome of the Hamilton by-election remains uncertain, describing the race as “too close to call”.

In the 2021 Scottish Parliament election, the SNP beat Labour in this constituency by 4,000 votes. But Labour believes it has a strong chance of overturning that margin tonight, as support for the SNP dips across the country.

Jackie Baillie said: “With votes still to be counted this race is too close to call, but there is real hope for change in Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse.

“Voters know the SNP has taken this area for granted for too long – from the crisis in our NHS to neglected town centres and opportunities snatched away from young people.

“It is clear from the thousands of conversations we have had that voters feel the SNP have lost their way.”

Vote Count And Declaration For The Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse By-Election

(Image: Getty)

Neither Labour nor Reform members are yet confident of a win

LBC Scotland Political Editor Gina Davidson has posted via her X account that both parties are on edge, with no representatives yet displaying any indication that they may have won:

“Normally around this time at election counts the party which is winning begins to appear relaxed. That’s not the case in Hamilton tonight – both SNP and Labour saying it’s too close to call. Reform tho has gone back to saying third place will be a good night.”

Expert: Labour won’t form the next Government of Scotland

A Labour victory in tonight’s by-election will not indicate the party is on course to lead the next Scottish Government, according to Professor Sir John Curtice.

Speaking to BBC Scotland, the elections expert urged caution over interpreting the result, warning that whoever wins will likely have done so with a “low share of the vote.”

Sir John explained: “If, for the purpose of argument, Labour win this by-election with 32 per cent of the vote and the SNP get 31 per cent, that will not mean that the Labour party are doing anything like as well as they did last summer and will not mean that they’re doing well enough to suggest that Anas Sarwar will be able to form the next Scottish Government.”

He added: “That would be good news for Labour and disappointing for the SNP. But the truth is, probably, whoever wins this by-election is going to win it on a relatively low share of the vote.”

Vote Count And Declaration For The Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse By-Election

(Image: Getty)

Zia Yusuf’s exit no surprise inside Reform UK, despite public shock

Zia Yusuf’s resignation as chairman of Reform UK may appear to be a jaw-dropping development for outside observers tracking Nigel Farage’s steady ascent in British politics. But for staff working at the party’s Milbank Tower headquarters and across the country, his departure comes as little surprise.

Just two hours ago, the Daily Express published an exclusive report detailing rising tensions surrounding Mr Yusuf, who had been increasingly sidelined from what was once the party’s second most senior position after Mr Farage. The report made it clear he had effectively been stripped of power, “shunted” into the party’s ‘DOGE’ campaign, which targets council-level waste.

In his absence, key responsibilities had been gradually taken over by Aaron Lobo, a close Farage ally from his GB News days. Lobo’s most visible contribution to date has been adding fireworks to Mr Farage’s energetic stage appearances.

Read the full article by Express Senior Political Correspondent Christian Calgie here.

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